Fantasy football enthusiasts and seasoned players are eagerly looking forward to the 2023 NFL season, with great interest in drafting players who will offer the best value for their fantasy teams. With the tight end (TE) position becoming increasingly vital in fantasy leagues, choosing the right players can make or break a fantasy season. Here, we provide an in-depth analysis of the top tight ends in 2023, focusing on their projected value, opportunities, and potential to be the cornerstone of your fantasy team.
1. Travis Kelce: The Ultimate Fantasy TE Machine
Projected draft position: Round 1, pick No. 6 or later
Travis Kelce’s consistent performance and dominance in the tight end position have made him a coveted player in fantasy leagues. His current average draft position is sixth overall, and this may even be a slight undervaluation of his worth.
Breakdown of Kelce’s Performance
- Superior Rankings: Over the last seven seasons, Kelce topped the TE position six times, creating a significant gap between him and the next player.
- Scoring Potential: With a projected 60-point advantage over the TE2 (Mark Andrews), Kelce’s scoring ability is unrivaled.
- High Reception: Last season’s new routes and different pre-snap alignments led to 6.5 receptions and 78.7 receiving yards per game.
- Touchdowns: With 12 regular-season touchdowns, Kelce is forecasted to match or exceed that figure in over 54% of simulations.
Kelce’s unparalleled consistency and scoring prowess make him a must-have for fantasy owners who want to secure a premium player at the tight end position.
2. Mark Andrews: A New Era in Baltimore
Projected draft position: Rounds 2-3
Mark Andrews, who ranks second among tight ends in 2023, showcases immense talent and offers significant upside. His integration into the Ravens’ evolving offensive strategies has made him an exciting prospect.
Analyzing Andrews’ Potential
- Yards per Route: Andrews has an impressive 2.09 yards per route run over the last two seasons, the highest among TEs.
- Offensive Synchronization: Baltimore’s new offensive strategy forecasts a shift towards efficient passing, positioning Andrews for substantial production.
- Defensive Matchups: Andrews’ situation places him in an advantageous position, providing ample opportunities for scoring.
Despite being considered an “overpay” at his current ADP, Andrews’ potential upside makes him a compelling choice for fantasy owners.
3. T.J. Hockenson: The Emerging Talent
Projected draft position: Rounds 4-5
T.J. Hockenson’s high target volume and recent trade to the Minnesota Vikings have elevated his fantasy value.
Unpacking Hockenson’s Value
- Target Volume Increase: His forecasted target volume increases from an already high mark of 8.6 per game after his midseason trade.
- Improved Tackle Play: Minnesota’s tackle play will further bolster Hockenson’s performance.
Though considered riskier than Andrews, Hockenson’s growing prominence in the Vikings’ offensive plans offers an appealing opportunity for fantasy managers.
4. Kyle Pitts: Atlanta’s Breakout Star
Projected draft position: Rounds 5-6
Kyle Pitts is anticipated to break out in 2023, especially with strong O-line play in Atlanta and the increased implementation of Arthur Smith’s vision.
Evaluating Pitts’ Prospects
- Recovery from Injury: Despite a season-ending knee injury, Pitts’ current ADP makes him a good value.
- Target Share: With his proven target share, Pitts is expected to truly break out in 2023.
5. Evan Engram: Jacksonville’s Potential Gem
Projected draft position: Rounds 7-8
Evan Engram’s potential as part of Doug Pederson’s offense in Jacksonville makes him a worthwhile pick.
Insights into Engram’s Fantasy Value
- Route-running Improvement: Engram’s enhanced route-running and hip direction are expected to provide value, especially during the first four weeks.
- Offensive Line Forecasts: The expected improvement in Jacksonville’s offensive line further adds to Engram’s appeal.
6. Greg Dulcich: Denver’s Emerging Star
Projected draft position: Rounds 12-13
Greg Dulcich’s potential to shine under new head coach Sean Payton, and with Tim Patrick’s season-ending injury, positions him for a more prominent role.
Exploring Dulcich’s Opportunities
- Rising Talent: Dulcich’s 29.4 pass routes per game and Russell Wilson’s presence provide a fertile ground for his continued development.
7. Chigoziem Okonkwo: Tennessee’s Hidden Gem
Projected draft position: Rounds 12-13
Chigoziem Okonkwo’s low ADP makes him a sleeper pick with upside potential, making him a valuable asset for fantasy managers looking to profit late in the draft.
Okonkwo’s Fantasy Prospects
- TE6 Upside: Although his projected floor would place him in the 20s, Okonkwo’s upside positions him at TE6, a hidden value for those looking to make a savvy draft pick.
Conclusion
The 2023 NFL season offers an array of exciting options for fantasy managers looking to draft value-added tight ends. By considering various factors such as target share, offensive alignment, projected performance, and strategic drafting, fantasy players can select the TEs that best align with their team’s needs. The tight end position’s importance in fantasy leagues is growing, and a well-informed choice can greatly influence a fantasy team’s success. Whether you’re looking for an established star like Travis Kelce or a hidden gem like Chigoziem Okonkwo, the 2023 season presents opportunities to craft a winning fantasy team.